If scientific theories claim to provide ultimate truths about the nature of reality, then how can we explain new theories and revisions of existing theories? To take an extreme example - if we once believed that the world was flat, how can we justify our current belief in a spherical world? In this particular case, our current ideas can clearly be explained by the increases in technology and no one would seriously question the shape of our planet. However, in more complicated instances how can we be so sure that science offers anything more than a set of beliefs (i.e. in a similar way to religion or myths).
Later scientific theories often contradict the theories they replace. Does this mean that science is not in the truth business? There is a simple and much discussed argument for this conclusion. The argument is known as the 'pessimistic induction': all scientific theories more than say two hundred years old are now known to be false, so it is likely that all present and future theories will eventually be found to be false as well. So much for truth. There are a number of responses those of us who do think science is in the truth business can give. We can quibble with the premise of the pessimistic induction: surely not all theories more that two hundred years old are now known to be false. For example, we still believe the theory that the blood circulates around the body, and that theory is much more than two hundred years old. But even if the premise is an exaggeration, lots of our best old theories are contradicted by what we now believe. For example, if Einstein is right, then...
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