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Can your belief affect the outcome of an event? Such as if you believe that the future will happen a certain way, will the outcome be what you believe?
Accepted:
November 2, 2006

Comments

Karen Jones
November 23, 2006 (changed November 23, 2006) Permalink

Yes, though only in those limited circumstances where the believing itself brings about the truth of that which is believed. This mostly happens indirectly and the outcome is typically only partly explained by the belief (so it won't always work!). Consumer confidence, studied by economists, is one example of this: if enough of us lose our confidence in the economy that can, through its effects on our consumption patterns, bring it about that an economic down-turn happens. Positive consumer confidence can have the reverse effect. Single person cases include believing you can do something, which can give you the motivation and confidence to really throw yourself into the task and so make it the case that you can, when you couldn't have if you lacked that belief. Again, though, there is no magical guarantee: the belief has to work by marshalling sources of motivation and competence, which you might or might not have. There is an interesting, though even more limited, set of cases where the believing itself brings about the truth of that which is believed: if I believe that there is something less than satisfactory about my marriage, then there is indeed something less than satisfactory about it, since one of the conditions for having a good marriage is feeling satisfied within it. To the extent that I have such beliefs, my marriage is lacking. The reverse is not true, however: believing my marriage is good is not enough to make it so. Perhaps, unbeknown to me, my partner only married me for my money and is about to absconded with our joint funds. Curiously, all the examples of this direct relation between belief and outcome that I've been able to think of are of this undermining sort. Could there be more, or more direct, power in negative thinking?!

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